Predicted fortunes of Germany & France

Within five years it will surely become obvious to everybody that Germany is in deep trouble, and a balanced budget will not prove any defence. Within 10 years, France will be the dominant power of continental Europe.

I'm not sure about this but I want to find out. To that end I have set an actual reminder in my calendar to read this in 5 years time.

This is partly an exercise in looking back at my past self, a way to remind me of the state of world affairs at the time, and to obviously check if such bold predictions have come to pass.

Also, Instapaper link which will hopefully still be around then.